Speakers at a January forum agreed that state
and local finance problems will require a
bigger fix than the bond measures approved on the
March 2 ballot can provide. The League of Women
Voters of the Bay Area symposium focused on the
ripples created by the state budget deficits, and
panelists criticized the system from top to bottom.
Keynote speaker Fred Keeley, a former
Assemblymember and current Executive Director of the
California Planning and Conservation League, set the tone
by remarking that "the deficit is not something we
can grow our way out of with improvements in the economy -- we need structural change."
"We don't even need new revenues, we need our
old taxes back again."
Assemblymember Loni Hancock
Members of the first panel included John Russo, Oakland City Attorney, Keith Carson, Alameda
Board of Supervisors, Loni Hancock, California State
Assembly, and Betty Yee, Deputy to Board of Equalization member Carole Migden. While each
represented a different type of government agency,
they found common ground when describing the impacts of a state budget system which has
been reactive rather than planned.
They were followed by a panel focused on the broader statewide picture, led by Peter
Schrag, columnist for the Sacramento Bee, which
included Anne Henderson, past Legislative Chair for
the League of Women Voters of California, Fred
Silva, Public Policy Institute and Lenny Goldberg,
California Tax Reform Association. Throughout both
panels, certain themes reappeared.
- The state has been balancing the budget at
least partially with an ongoing "tax grab". As
state budgets have become tighter, property taxes that used to fund local services have been
allocated to other uses by the state. Local governments are seeing painful cuts, and hearing
about them from constituents who don't understand that the real decisions are being made in
distant Sacramento.
- "Ballot box budgeting" limits available
funds. Initiatives which earmark revenues for
certain uses, coupled with constitutional mandates,
leave legislators fighting over approximately 2% of
the budget.
- A majority vote can authorize a tax cut, but the
2/3 vote requirement for passing a state budget or raising taxes makes it easier to cut
programs than increase revenues.
- Tax credits, also called tax expenditures, can
be passed with a majority vote and are seldom re-examined, although they represent millions
of dollars of potential revenue each year.
- California is well behind other states in
taxing business services. Yee pointed out that
labor charges for auto repairs are taxed by over half
the states, but not in California.
- Property taxes on commercial and industrial
property rise very slowly because of Proposition
13 limits, since this type of property changes
hands less frequently than residential property and
some transfers are invisible to the tax system.
- Spending isn't matching growth rates, putting
the state behind the curve. Cutting programs when population is growing doubles the impact.
- The state is being affected by federal tax
policies but not benefiting from them. Yee reported
that California has 1/5 of US billionaires, with a
net worth of almost $103 billion, and more millionaires than any other state, whose federal tax
cuts will not help the state. According to Schrag,
phasing out the federal estate tax is costing
California $1.3 billion a year.
In the long run, the state will have to "raise taxes,
make service cuts, borrow dollars," as Carson
put it. Panelists generally agreed on some strategies.
- Increase the upper bracket income tax. This is
a strategy that was used by Governor Pete Wilson with some success. The problem, said Hancock,
is that close to $17 billion was cut in the boom
years of the 1990s. "We don't even need new
revenues," she said, "we need our old taxes
back again."
- Review tax credits. Yee suggested creating a
Tax Expenditure annual report, to allow tax credits
to be scrutinized each year.
- Broaden sales tax to apply to selected
business services.
- Restructure the general fund sources to
make allocation of revenues from personal and property tax more logical and create a
guaranteed revenue source for local government. Consider reinstating
the "separation of sources" dedicating local property taxes to
local uses, and/or replacing lost vehicle license fee revenue.
- Split the tax rolls to create different property tax rules
for commercial/industrial property and residential property.
Consider the cost of holding underutilized land off the market.
Use incremental land values to fund infrastructure.
- Re-examine budget mandates created by statute and initiative.
- Talk about trade-offs and priorities in the budget.
- Eliminate 2/3 votes for budget and taxes, return to
"majority rule" like most other states. Obviously, given the defeat
of Proposition 56, this will not happen immediately.
- When raising taxes, show a good reason why the money
is needed. What will it cost to have a good university
system where every qualified student can attend?
Panel members pointed to Proposition 13 as the source of
some of the structural problems, including the 2/3 vote, the
inequalities in taxing commercial and industrial property like
residential property, and the ability of the state to allocate property tax
that used to go to local government. It seems possible that the
state's dire financial situation may mean that Proposition 13 is no
longer untouchable. Several speakers also alluded to new ballot
measures circulating or already scheduled for the November
election, including one sponsored by the League of California Cities.
While the immediate questions about the March ballot have now
been answered, the more distant future for state finances
remains murky despite the best efforts of the collected experts present
at the January forum.
This article was adapted from a longer report on the State of
the Region symposium, which is available on the LWVBA Website
at http://www.lwvba-ca.org.